Inflation, Fed Signals & Tech Momentum

"In investing, what is comfortable is rarely profitable." – Robert Arnott

MARKET UPDATE
Market Week Ahead: Inflation, Fed Signals & Tech Momentum

Wall Street’s mood this morning? A little groggy and very geopolitical. It’s Monday, the Fed is looming, oil’s on a tear, and investors are debating whether to stay in stocks… or hide under the covers with bonds.

Markets at a Glance (as of last Friday’s close):

  • S&P 500: ▲ 1.1% (5,610.33) – Fresh all-time high 🥂

  • Nasdaq: ▲ 2.3% (18,555.72) – Tech doing what tech does

  • Dow Jones: ▼ 0.2% (38,945.21) – Blue chips lag behind

  • Bitcoin: $67,800 – Quiet consolidation before the next move?

  • 10-Year Treasury: 4.28% – Yields holding steady

TOP HEADLINES
Middle East Heats Up

Iran-Israel tensions flared over the weekend. That sent oil prices up over 13% last week — the biggest spike since early 2022. Energy stocks may catch fire again today, while airlines and transports could hit turbulence. Investors are watching gold and Treasuries for safe-haven signals.

All Eyes on the Fed – Wednesday Decision Looms

The Federal Reserve meets this Wednesday, and while they’re expected to hold interest rates steady at 5.25%, the real action is in the dot plot and Powell’s press Q&A. Will rate cuts come this summer? Markets are pricing in a 20% chance of a July pivot and 50bps of easing by year-end.

📌 Translation: If Powell sounds cautious or mentions the Middle East, rate cut hopes may fade faster than your summer tan.

EARNINGS
🧠 What Smart Money is Watching This Week:

  • AI Stocks Still on Fire
    Nvidia, AMD, and Palantir are still riding the AI tsunami. Investors are asking: have these stocks peaked, or is there another leg up as enterprise AI adoption expands?

  • Earnings Watch: Adobe & FedEx Report This Week
    Adobe’s numbers could signal the health of the creative and enterprise software sector, while FedEx might give clues on global trade demand.

  • Housing Market Update Coming Wednesday
    With mortgage rates hovering near 7%, the new housing data may show whether buyers are starting to push back — or simply biting the bullet.

TRENDING
Top Stocks

  • $NVDA – Just hit a $4.2T market cap. At this point, should it get its own seat at the UN?

  • $AAPL – WWDC buzz is still lingering. AI features teased = stock love.

  • $COIN – Crypto optimism + regulatory clarity = tailwinds.

  • $TSLA – Robotaxi news has retail traders dreaming again.

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